Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.003406 0.003801 0.004213 0.004674 0.005174 0.005699 0.006291
2024-10-13 0.002886 0.003457 0.004086 0.004825 0.005666 0.006590 0.007679
2024-10-20 0.002423 0.003064 0.003799 0.004696 0.005753 0.006952 0.008408
2024-10-27 0.002128 0.002819 0.003638 0.004670 0.005920 0.007376 0.009186
2024-11-03 0.001871 0.002587 0.003463 0.004597 0.006008 0.007687 0.009818
2024-11-10 0.001684 0.002422 0.003351 0.004584 0.006151 0.008055 0.010513
2024-11-17 0.001514 0.002261 0.003228 0.004540 0.006245 0.008353 0.011120
2024-11-24 0.001424 0.002199 0.003224 0.004644 0.006522 0.008879 0.012014
2024-12-01 0.001267 0.002029 0.003065 0.004531 0.006507 0.009029 0.012432
2024-12-08 0.001164 0.001928 0.002990 0.004523 0.006625 0.009345 0.013061
2024-12-15 0.001129 0.001921 0.003043 0.004689 0.006976 0.009969 0.014100
2024-12-22 0.001064 0.001865 0.003023 0.004751 0.007185 0.010407 0.014900
2024-12-29 0.001023 0.001845 0.003055 0.004889 0.007507 0.011012 0.015944
2025-01-05 0.000989 0.001832 0.003098 0.005044 0.007856 0.011659 0.017060
2025-01-12 0.000884 0.001697 0.002948 0.004910 0.007792 0.011741 0.017413
2025-01-19 0.000815 0.001615 0.002874 0.004883 0.007876 0.012024 0.018039
2025-01-26 0.000741 0.001519 0.002773 0.004808 0.007884 0.012199 0.018517
2025-02-02 0.000686 0.001453 0.002714 0.004794 0.007980 0.012495 0.019165
2025-02-09 0.000631 0.001380 0.002638 0.004749 0.008026 0.012719 0.019715
2025-02-16 0.000609 0.001366 0.002659 0.004857 0.008302 0.013276 0.020740
2025-02-23 0.000547 0.001274 0.002543 0.004740 0.008232 0.013330 0.021051
2025-03-02 0.000510 0.001224 0.002496 0.004732 0.008327 0.013624 0.021707
2025-03-09 0.000504 0.001236 0.002559 0.004904 0.008705 0.014339 0.022980